Russian Culture will be Ascendant 100 Years from Now

Posted: August 27th, 2021

Russian Culture will be Ascendant 100 Years from Now

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Russian Culture will be Ascendant 100 Years from Now

            The world order of global power is susceptible to sudden shifts, which may impact the magnitude of financial, political, and strategic calculations differently. World discontinuities have constantly affected the shift in global leadership, leading to both national and international crises. Indeed, the US present primacy is in its twilight stage with other moderately large economies challenging its world’s superpower position in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic. With the retreat of America’s superiority, Russia is perceived to be ascendant as superpower in 100 years from now due to the supposedly increase in demand for natural gas.

           With much anticipation in the world for a change of energy use that does not exacerbate the already high levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, natural gas exploration seems a possible substitute. In the exception of air fuels, natural gas is perfectly fit to cater to the total demand for energy globally (Smil, 2005). Therefore, a complete shift of energy to natural gas away from crude oil would mean that the demand for Russia’s export to the world would balloon. According to Smil (2005), Russia seems centered towards global leadership since it is the largest producer of natural gas globally coupled with its superior R&D in Science and Technology. As much as the US economy still looks promising, its huge budget deficits of about $900 billion might plunge it into oblivion in 2040 or 2050 (Smil, 2005). The reason is that fast-rising China’s economy threatens US manufacturing and technology industries’ success amid its tumbles.

The Chinese cheap labor force resulting from its fast-growing population is now expatriated into many parts of the world. As a result, the Chinese would dislodge the US from superpower position in 2050 due to the present pandemic – Covid-19 – that has challenged to slice employment levels in the US by 26% (Wyne, 2020). However, the Chinese’s superiority is not destined to last throughout the 21st Century, simply because their environment would be highly polluted by massive industrialization. Indeed, China is supposed to experience high levels of global warming resulting from excessive greenhouse gases. In this regard, China and the rest of the world would turn to Russia to supply natural gas as a global climate change initiative action of not exceeding the limits of carbon emissions (Smil, 2005). Overall, the Russian economy might be reenergized by the Siberian gas and oil, hence reemerging its previous global influence.

References

Smil, V. (2005). The next 50 years: Unfolding trends. Population and Development Review, 31(4), 605-643. doi:10.2307/3401519

Wyne, A. (2020, May 5). Can China use the pandemic to displace the US? Defense One. https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2020/05/can-china-use-pandemic-displace-us/165168/